Avaivs
Athletic Club
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Avai 0-0 Athletic Club, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Avai 0-0 Athletic Club
Original prediction
Athletic Club
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 42.1% | 33.6% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.4% | 30.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 27.5% | 36.4% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Projected Score
Avai 0–0 Athletic Club
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AvaiWWLLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Athletic ClubDLLDD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AvaiAthletic Club
33.3Attack40.4
56.6Defence60.6
36.4Form43.4
44.5Power49.6
0.83xG0.98