Serie BSerie B
Tuesday, 21 July 202623:30Last updated 10:12
Avai

Avai

Home
DWL
21
Full time
America Mineiro

America Mineiro

Away
DDL
Ressacada
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Avai(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Avai
41%
Draw
29%
America Mineiro
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Avai
47
America Mineiro
23
Defence
Avai
53
America Mineiro
66
Momentum
Avai
44
America Mineiro
22
Danger (xG)
Avai
1.05
America Mineiro
1.28
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Avai)
1.05
avg per match
xG for (America Mineiro)
1.28
avg per match
xG against (Avai)
1.48
avg per match
xG against (America Mineiro)
1.18
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AvaiAvai
DWLLW
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
DDLLL

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Avai41%
Draw29%
America Mineiro30%

Avai leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Avai head into this in Serie B fixture at Ressacada in mixed form (DWL), while America Mineiro arrive in mixed form (DDL). Avai have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for America Mineiro over 3 games.

The model rates Avai's attack at 47/100 against a 66/100 America Mineiro defence, and America Mineiro's attack at 23/100 against a 53/100 Avai backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Avai have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. America Mineiro have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Avai have generated 1.13 xG per game recently while conceding 0.86 xG per match. America Mineiro have generated 1.28 xG per game recently while conceding 1.18 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Avai and America Mineiro in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Avai to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Avai 4077%, Draw 2925%, America Mineiro 2998%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Avai

Avai

D
@ São Bernardo
17 Jul 2026
11
xG 0.2
W
vs Nautico Recife
12 Jul 2026
20
xG 2.1
L
@ Botafogo SP
6 Jul 2026
13
L
@ Athletic Club
28 Jun 2026
01
W
vs Cuiaba
21 Jun 2026
10
America Mineiro

America Mineiro

D
vs Ceara
17 Jul 2026
11
xG 1.3
D
vs Londrina
13 Jul 2026
11
xG 2.1
L
@ Cuiaba
3 Jul 2026
01
xG 0.4
L
@ Operario-PR
27 Jun 2026
01
L
vs Criciuma
24 Jun 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Avai vs America Mineiro?

GoalVio's model predicts Avai to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Avai vs America Mineiro?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Avai vs America Mineiro?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Avai vs America Mineiro?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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