Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avaí U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Avaí U20 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nação U20 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Avaí U20 hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.5% in the Catarinense U20, while Avaí U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avaí U20
Probability
80.5%
Model confidence
80.5%
Avaí U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80