GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Santa Catarina · 9/26/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marcílio Dias · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Avaí B are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Marcílio Dias are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Marcílio Dias hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Copa Santa Catarina, while Marcílio Dias holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marcílio Dias

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Marcílio Dias has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avaí BL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Marcílio DiasLWWLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Avaí BMarcílio Dias
37.0Attack61.5
40.7Defence48.7
37.0Form51.3
41.4Power54.7
1.21xG2.03
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