World · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · 10/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austria W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austria W 4-0 Kosovo W
Original prediction
Austria W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 86.8% | 39.8% | -46.9 pts |
| Draw | 9.32 | 9.9% | 22.4% | 12.5 pts |
| Away | 27.21 | 3.4% | 37.8% | 34.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-46.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Austria W
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Austria W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00