Austria Viennavs
TSV Hartberg
COMPLETEDAustria · Cup · 10/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austria Vienna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austria Vienna 1-1 TSV Hartberg
Original prediction
Austria Vienna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.8% | 42.6% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.4% | 26.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 24.8% | 31.4% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Austria Vienna
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Austria Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80