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Austria Vienna logoAustria ViennavsSturm Graz logoSturm Graz

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Austria · Bundesliga · 7/30/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sturm Graz · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Austria Vienna are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sturm Graz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturm Graz hold a 54.8-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Bundesliga, while Sturm Graz holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sturm Graz

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Sturm Graz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Austria ViennaWWDDW

GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sturm GrazLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Austria ViennaSturm Graz
0.0Attack50.0
16.7Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
13.2Power68.0
1.02xG1.60
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