Austria Viennavs
SC Braga
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Braga · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austria Vienna 0-0 SC Braga
Original prediction
SC Braga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.57 | 26.1% | 31.6% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.2% | 27.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 46.7% | 41.3% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
SC Braga
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
SC Braga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40