Austria Viennavs
Austria Lustenau
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 9/13/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austria Vienna · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austria Vienna 2-1 Austria Lustenau
Original prediction
Austria Vienna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 51.7% | 39.4% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 25.3% | 26.4% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.04 | 23.0% | 34.2% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Austria Vienna
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Austria Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00