GGOALVIO

Austria · 2. Liga · 10/16/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Austria Vienna (Am) · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Austria Vienna (Am) 2-2 WSPG Wels

Original prediction

Austria Vienna (Am)

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2740.8%62.1%21.4 pts
Draw3.4726.6%19.4%-7.1 pts
Away2.8332.7%18.5%-14.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

21.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–010%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.3–09%

Predicted outcome

Austria Vienna (Am)

Probability

62.1%

Model confidence

62.1%

Austria Vienna (Am) has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Austria Vienna (Am)WWLWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WSPG WelsWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Austria Vienna (Am)WSPG Wels
58.3Attack37.5
54.2Defence29.2
62.5Form29.2
59.1Power35.5
2.63xG0.95
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