Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Austria Vienna (Am)

Austria Vienna (Am)

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WL
50
Full time
SV Lafnitz

SV Lafnitz

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

SV Lafnitz33%
Austria Vienna (Am)33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Austria Vienna (Am)
Win probability
Austria Vienna (Am)
33%
Draw
33%
SV Lafnitz
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Austria Vienna (Am)
86
SV Lafnitz
9
Defence
Austria Vienna (Am)
66
SV Lafnitz
0
Momentum
Austria Vienna (Am)
50
SV Lafnitz
0
Danger (xG)
Austria Vienna (Am)
2.25
SV Lafnitz
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.58 xG for Austria Vienna (Am) and 1.11 xG for SV Lafnitz — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.47), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.69 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.Historical meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals per game — a pattern consistent with the current xG projection and the model's under 2.5 lean.

xG for (Austria Vienna (Am))
2.25
avg per match
xG for (SV Lafnitz)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Austria Vienna (Am))
0.90
avg per match
xG against (SV Lafnitz)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Austria Vienna (Am)Austria Vienna (Am)
WLD
SV LafnitzSV Lafnitz
LD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Austria Vienna (Am)33%
Draw33%
SV Lafnitz33%

SV Lafnitz leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Austria Vienna (Am) Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Austria Vienna (Am) take on SV Lafnitz in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.58 for Austria Vienna (Am) and 1.11 for SV Lafnitz. The gap of 0.47 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 3 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Austria Vienna (Am) 1Draws 00 SV Lafnitz
Avg goals: 5.0
17 Jul 2026
Austria Vienna (Am)
W50
SV Lafnitz

Recent form

Austria Vienna (Am)

Austria Vienna (Am)

W
vs SV Lafnitz
17 Jul 2026
50
L
@ Parndorf
14 Jul 2026
02
D
vs SV Kapfenberg
14 May 2026
11
SV Lafnitz

SV Lafnitz

L
@ Austria Vienna (Am)
17 Jul 2026
05
D
vs Voitsberg
15 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Austria Vienna (Am) vs SV Lafnitz?

GoalVio's model predicts Austria Vienna (Am) to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Austria Vienna (Am) vs SV Lafnitz?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Austria Vienna (Am) vs SV Lafnitz?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Austria Vienna (Am) vs SV Lafnitz?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more