Austria Vienna (Am)vs
Sturm Graz II
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 10/23/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austria Vienna (Am) · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austria Vienna (Am) 1-0 Sturm Graz II
Original prediction
Austria Vienna (Am)
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.6% | 56.4% | 18.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.2% | 19.9% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 37.2% | 23.7% | -13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Austria Vienna (Am)
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Austria Vienna (Am) has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40