Austria U21vs
Denmark U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Denmark U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austria U21 1-1 Denmark U21
Original prediction
Denmark U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.9% | 37.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.9% | 24.6% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 38.2% | 37.9% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Denmark U21
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Denmark U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60