Austria Salzburgvs
FC BW Linz
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 10/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC BW Linz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austria Salzburg 0-1 FC BW Linz
Original prediction
FC BW Linz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.88 | 23.8% | 21.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.4% | 22.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 51.8% | 56.1% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
FC BW Linz
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
FC BW Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80