Austria Lustenauvs
WSG Wattens
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 8/28/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austria Lustenau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austria Lustenau 0-4 WSG Wattens
Original prediction
Austria Lustenau
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 46.4% | 48.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 26.1% | 25.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 27.5% | 25.3% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Austria Lustenau
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Austria Lustenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00