Austria LustenauvsSturm Graz

Austria Lustenau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sturm Graz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturm Graz hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Bundesliga, while Sturm Graz holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.