Austria Lustenauvs
SCR Altach
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austria Lustenau · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austria Lustenau 2-0 SCR Altach
Original prediction
Austria Lustenau
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 29.8% | 39.0% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.2% | 26.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 43.0% | 34.1% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Austria Lustenau
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Austria Lustenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60