Austria Lustenauvs
Lask Linz
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 10/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lask Linz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austria Lustenau 0-4 Lask Linz
Original prediction
Lask Linz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.34 | 12.7% | 15.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.03 | 18.6% | 17.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.36 | 68.8% | 66.8% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Lask Linz
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Lask Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80