Austria Lustenauvs
FC Schalke 04
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Schalke 04 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Austria Lustenau 0-1 FC Schalke 04
Original prediction
FC Schalke 04
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.41 | 14.2% | 30.6% | 16.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.62 | 19.7% | 25.9% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 1.38 | 66.1% | 43.5% | -22.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
FC Schalke 04
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
FC Schalke 04 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20