GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 8/6/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Austria Lustenau · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Austria Lustenau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Austria Vienna are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Austria Lustenau hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Bundesliga, while Austria Lustenau holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Austria Lustenau

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Austria Lustenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Austria LustenauDWLWW

GF 21 · GA 8 · avg 4.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Austria ViennaWLWWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Austria LustenauAustria Vienna
33.3Attack0.0
50.0Defence16.7
16.7Form0.0
36.5Power13.2
1.60xG1.05
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