World Cup
Australia
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Türkiye
AwayThe model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesAustraliaTürkiyeProbability breakdown
Australia leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Australia head into this in World Cup fixture at BC Place in mixed form (DDLW), while Türkiye arrive in mixed form (WLL). Australia have a 25% win rate across their last 4 matches, compared to 33% for Türkiye over 3 games.
The model rates Australia's attack at 25/100 against a 39/100 Türkiye defence, and Türkiye's attack at 34/100 against a 75/100 Australia backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Australia have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Türkiye have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.
Australia have generated 0.22 xG per game recently while conceding 0.65 xG per match. Türkiye have generated 1.87 xG per game recently while conceding 0.29 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
Australia have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects Australia to win with 45% confidence. Win probabilities: Australia 3730%, Draw 2620%, Türkiye 3650%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
Australia
Türkiye
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Australia vs Türkiye?
GoalVio's model predicts Australia to win with 45% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Australia vs Türkiye?
A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.
Will both teams score in Australia vs Türkiye?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Australia vs Türkiye?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.