Austinvs
St. Louis City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 2/26/2023, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Louis City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Austin are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while St. Louis City are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Major League Soccer, while St. Louis City holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St. Louis City
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
St. Louis City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60