Austinvs
St. Louis City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/3/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Louis City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Austin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while St. Louis City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Major League Soccer, while St. Louis City holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St. Louis City
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
St. Louis City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00