GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/22/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Minnesota United FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Austin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Minnesota United FC hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Minnesota United FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Minnesota United FC

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

13.8%

Minnesota United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AustinLDLLW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Minnesota United FCLDWLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AustinMinnesota United FC
40.7Attack37.0
33.3Defence53.7
31.5Form44.4
37.2Power47.1
1.19xG1.41
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