Austinvs
Louisville City
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 1/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Austin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Louisville City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Austin holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Austin
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Austin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00