Austinvs
Los Angeles Galaxy
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/11/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles Galaxy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Austin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Los Angeles Galaxy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles Galaxy hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles Galaxy holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles Galaxy
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Los Angeles Galaxy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80