GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/22/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Los Angeles FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Austin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Los Angeles FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles FC hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 61.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles FC holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Los Angeles FC

Probability

71.0%

Model confidence

11.9%

Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AustinLLWDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Los Angeles FCWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AustinLos Angeles FC
40.7Attack61.4
33.3Defence66.7
31.5Form59.6
37.2Power61.5
0.82xG2.43
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