GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/26/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Austin are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo

Probability

54.2%

Model confidence

54.2%

Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AustinLDLDD

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Houston DynamoWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AustinHouston Dynamo
40.7Attack49.1
33.3Defence57.9
31.5Form61.4
37.2Power57.6
1.04xG1.93
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