Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
DC United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Austin are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while DC United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and DC United hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Major League Soccer, while DC United holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
DC United
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
11.4%
DC United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00