Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austin II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Austin II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while The Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin II hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (73.0 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the MLS Next Pro, while Austin II holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Austin II
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Austin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40