GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/11/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Austin II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Austin II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Tacoma Defiance are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin II hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (73.0 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while Austin II holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Austin II

Probability

72.3%

Model confidence

72.3%

Austin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Austin IIWDDWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Tacoma DefianceDWLLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Austin IITacoma Defiance
71.2Attack45.5
71.2Defence51.5
75.8Form47.0
73.0Power49.6
2.44xG0.69
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