GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/18/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Austin II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Austin II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while St. Louis City II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin II hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while Austin II holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Austin II

Probability

71.3%

Model confidence

12.3%

Austin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Austin IIWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
St. Louis City IILDWWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Austin IISt. Louis City II
68.3Attack51.5
71.4Defence50.0
74.6Form47.0
71.9Power50.2
2.40xG0.79
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