GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 10/26/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Austin II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Austin II 0-1 Los Angeles FC II

Original prediction

Austin II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 08:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5957.0%57.4%0.4 pts
Draw4.0122.6%22.4%-0.1 pts
Away4.4420.4%20.1%-0.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–011%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.3–09%

Predicted outcome

Austin II

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Austin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Austin IIWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Los Angeles FC IIDLWDL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Austin IILos Angeles FC II
64.4Attack59.8
74.7Defence42.5
75.9Form49.4
72.4Power52.1
2.59xG0.92
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