3. Division - Girone 33. Division - Girone 3
Saturday, 1 August 202615:00Updated today
Austevoll

Austevoll

Home
W
vs
15:00
Os

Os

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Austevoll(40%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Austevoll
40%
Draw
26%
Os
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Austevoll
73
Os
100
Defence
Austevoll
91
Os
6
Momentum
Austevoll
100
Os
100
Danger (xG)
Austevoll
1.80
Os
4.50
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.51 xG for Austevoll and 2.69 xG for Os — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-3 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.18), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Austevoll's Attack Score (73) exceeds Os's Defensive Stability (6), and Os's attack (100) similarly tests Austevoll's defence (91). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 5.20 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-3 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 5 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Austevoll's Attack Score (73) vs Os's Defensive Stability (6) and Os's attack (100) vs Austevoll's defence (91) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Austevoll)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Os)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Austevoll)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Os)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AustevollAustevoll
W
OsOs
WW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Austevoll40%
Draw26%
Os34%

Austevoll leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Austevoll Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Austevoll host Os in 3. Division - Girone 3. Austevoll have recorded WLDWWD in recent matches while Os arrive with a run of LWLWWW. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 6.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Os have averaged 4.0 goals per game in recent fixtures compared to Austevoll's 2.2 — a gap in attacking output that the model captures in its xG projection. Consistent goal-scoring is one of the clearest indicators of a team's ability to convert chances.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Austevoll have averaged 2.20 goals per game recently while Os have managed 3.96. Os have been the more prolific side — a factor the model weighs in its Os win projection.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Austevoll have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Os carry the stronger underlying metrics, Austevoll's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Os hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Os.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Os, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Austevoll score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • Austevoll are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • Os have been conceding 1.83 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.18 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.

Recent form

Austevoll

Austevoll

W
vs Fyllingsdalen
25 Jun 2026
20
Os

Os

W
@ Åsane II
25 Jun 2026
53
W
vs Fyllingsdalen
14 May 2026
60

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Austevoll vs Os?

GoalVio's model predicts Austevoll to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Austevoll vs Os?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Austevoll vs Os?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Austevoll vs Os?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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