GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 9/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aurora · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Aurora 2-2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Original prediction

Aurora

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6754.6%42.4%-12.1 pts
Draw3.9423.1%25.6%2.5 pts
Away4.0622.4%32.0%9.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-12.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

Aurora

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AuroraWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Antonio Bulo BuloWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AuroraSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
53.3Attack73.3
80.0Defence73.3
86.7Form60.0
76.7Power66.5
1.40xG1.31
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