Auroravs
Real Tomayapo
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 10/25/2026, 9:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aurora · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aurora 1-0 Real Tomayapo
Original prediction
Aurora
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 04:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.1% | 63.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20.2% | 21.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 6.65 | 13.7% | 15.0% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Aurora
Probability
63.9%
Model confidence
63.9%
Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AuroraLLDWD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real TomayapoWDLLD
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AuroraReal Tomayapo
50.0Attack24.2
54.5Defence40.9
47.0Form30.3
52.0Power34.8
2.01xG0.67