Auroravs
Real Potosí
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 9/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aurora · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aurora 1-0 Real Potosí
Original prediction
Aurora
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.1% | 40.8% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.8% | 26.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.06 | 22.2% | 32.4% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Aurora
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00