GGOALVIO

Aurora logoAuroravsMalacateco logoMalacateco

SCHEDULED

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 8/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aurora · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Aurora are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Malacateco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.5 against 47.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Liga Nacional, while Aurora holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aurora

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

14.4%

Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AuroraWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MalacatecoDWLWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AuroraMalacateco
34.0Attack46.3
54.9Defence43.5
43.1Form47.2
46.5Power47.3
1.23xG1.15
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