GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/5/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aurora · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Aurora are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gualberto Villarroel SJ hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Aurora holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aurora

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AuroraWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gualberto Villarroel SJLWDWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AuroraGualberto Villarroel SJ
0.0Attack28.6
66.7Defence28.6
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power33.2
1.65xG0.82
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