Auroravs
Deportivo San Pedro
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/18/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aurora · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aurora 3-1 Deportivo San Pedro
Original prediction
Aurora
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.7% | 39.0% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 32.0% | 26.8% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 4.24 | 21.4% | 34.3% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Aurora
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40