Augsburg U19vs
Heidenheim U19
COMPLETEDGermany · U19 Bundesliga · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heidenheim U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Augsburg U19 1-2 Heidenheim U19
Original prediction
Heidenheim U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.21 | 17.3% | 22.4% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.89 | 18.4% | 21.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.40 | 64.3% | 56.3% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Heidenheim U19
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Heidenheim U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 21 · GA 10 · avg 4.20/2.00