Regionalliga - BayernRegionalliga - Bayern
Friday, 31 July 202617:30Updated today
Augsburg II

Augsburg II

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DW
vs
17:30
Landsberg

Landsberg

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Augsburg II(33%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Augsburg II
33%
Draw
27%
Landsberg
40%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Augsburg II
54
Landsberg
34
Defence
Augsburg II
66
Landsberg
27
Momentum
Augsburg II
67
Landsberg
0
Danger (xG)
Augsburg II
1.35
Landsberg
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.67 xG for Augsburg II and 1.94 xG for Landsberg — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.27), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.61 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (Augsburg II)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Landsberg)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Augsburg II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Landsberg)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Augsburg IIAugsburg II
DWL
LandsbergLandsberg
L

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Augsburg II33%
Draw27%
Landsberg40%

Landsberg leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Augsburg II Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Augsburg II host Landsberg in Regionalliga - Bayern. Augsburg II have recorded DDDLDL in recent matches while Landsberg arrive with a run of WWLWWL. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 10.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.94 expected goals for Landsberg against 1.67 for Augsburg II — a marginal but consistent advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 📈 Recent Form Landsberg arrive in better recent form — 4 wins from 10 matches (WWLWWL) against Augsburg II's 0. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Augsburg II have averaged 1.10 goals per game recently while Landsberg have managed 2.20. Landsberg have been the more prolific side — a factor the model weighs in its Landsberg win projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

Landsberg hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Landsberg.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Landsberg, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Augsburg II score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.27 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Augsburg II

Augsburg II

D
@ Wacker Burghausen
17 Jul 2026
11
W
@ SSV Ulm 1846
14 Jul 2026
21
L
vs Memmingen
16 May 2026
01
Landsberg

Landsberg

L
@ Gundelfingen
16 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Augsburg II vs Landsberg?

GoalVio's model predicts Augsburg II to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Augsburg II vs Landsberg?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Augsburg II vs Landsberg?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Augsburg II vs Landsberg?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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