Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plauen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Auerbach are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Plauen are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plauen hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd, while Plauen holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plauen
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Plauen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.33/2.67
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50