Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auerbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Auerbach are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 5.00 conceded, while FC Grimma are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 3.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Auerbach hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.1% in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd, while Auerbach holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Auerbach
Probability
79.1%
Model confidence
79.1%
Auerbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/5.00
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.67/3.33