Audace Cerignolavs
Team Altamura
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 10/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Audace Cerignola · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Audace Cerignola 0-0 Team Altamura
Original prediction
Audace Cerignola
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.5% | 43.6% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 29.3% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.25 | 21.3% | 27.2% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Audace Cerignola
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Audace Cerignola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80