Audace Cerignolavs
Savoia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 10/18/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Audace Cerignola · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Audace Cerignola 4-0 Savoia
Original prediction
Audace Cerignola
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 09:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.2% | 50.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.5% | 26.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.07 | 22.3% | 23.2% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Audace Cerignola
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Audace Cerignola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20