Audace Cerignolavs
Giugliano
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 9/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Audace Cerignola · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Audace Cerignola 4-0 Giugliano
Original prediction
Audace Cerignola
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.9% | 48.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.8% | 27.0% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.91 | 23.3% | 24.9% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Audace Cerignola
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Audace Cerignola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40