GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 4/2/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Auda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Auda are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Valmiera / BSS are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Auda hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Virsliga, while Auda holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Auda

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AudaWWLDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Valmiera / BSSLLDDL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AudaValmiera / BSS
54.2Attack43.5
63.9Defence63.0
63.9Form49.1
61.2Power52.5
1.34xG0.84
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