Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Auda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tukums are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Auda hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Virsliga, while Auda holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Auda
Probability
68.8%
Model confidence
10.4%
Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80