GGOALVIO

Auda logoAudavsSuper Nova logoSuper Nova

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Latvia · Virsliga · 3/11/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Auda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Auda are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Super Nova are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Auda hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the Virsliga, while Auda holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Auda

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

62.8%

Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AudaLDDDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Super NovaDWDLL

GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AudaSuper Nova
54.2Attack36.1
63.9Defence48.6
63.9Form37.5
61.2Power43.0
1.91xG0.68
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